Friday 14th February 2025

John Hall • February 14, 2025

Key Headline:

·       GBP/USD and EUR/USD strive to reach new 2025 highs

·       USD weakens as tariff delay takes effect.


Recap

 USD selling continued in the afternoon after a CNBC report suggested Donald Trump's tariff announcement would be delayed until around April 1st.

 GBP/USD and EUR/USD tested resistance levels but failed to break through.

 Markets remained cautious, awaiting confirmation before pushing the currency pairs higher.


Today’s Rates

Today's Interbank Rates at 10:45 am against GBP movement.

GBP>EUR – 1.2014

GBP>USD – 1.2576

EUR>GBP – 0.8322

EUR>USD – 1.0467

GBP>CAD – 1.7835

GBP>AUD – 1.9851

GBP>SEK – 13.487

GBP>CHF – 1.1344

GBP>PLN – 5.0015

GBP>AED – 4.6184

GBP>HKD – 9.7809

GBP>ZAR – 23.090

 

Today’s Key Takeaways

·       Trump administration signed a measure proposing reciprocal tariffs on a country-by-country basis, starting as early as April.

·       Market reacted sharply, with USD weakening.

·       GBP/USD surged to its highest level of the year, while EUR/USD retested key resistance levels.Key data releases today: Preliminary Q4 GDP for Europe and US retail sales.

 

14th February 2025


This document has been prepared solely for information and is not intended as an Inducement concerning the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. By its nature market analysis represents the personal view of the author and no warranty can be, or is, offered as to the accuracy of any such analysis, or that predictions provided in any such analysis will prove to be correct. Should you rely on any analysis, information, or report provided as part of the Service it does so entirely at its own risk, and Frank eXchange Limited accepts no responsibility or liability for any loss or damage you may suffer as a result. Information and opinions have been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but no representation is made as to their accuracy. No copy of this document can be taken without prior written permission.

                       


By John Hall May 30, 2025
Markets opened on a cautious note as the US Court of Appeals temporarily paused a ruling on Trump-era tariffs—keeping trade uncertainty front and center. The dollar edged higher, but investors remain wary ahead of today’s key inflation releases from Germany and the US.
By John Hall May 29, 2025
📈 The U.S. dollar surged overnight after a major legal ruling deemed Trump-era tariffs illegal, sending ripples across global FX markets. While the Trump team plans to appeal, markets are already reacting to the potential rollback of key trade barriers.
By John Hall May 28, 2025
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand delivered a widely expected rate cut—but with a hawkish twist that boosted the NZD. Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar continues to firm as traders gear up for commentary from Fed officials and the release of meeting minutes later today.
By John Hall May 27, 2025
The Japanese yen weakens on debt issuance speculation, while a softer-than-expected French inflation print nudges the euro lower. With GBPEUR holding firm and USD trading at 2022 highs, all eyes now turn to key central bank speakers and EU confidence data for the next directional cues.
By John Hall May 23, 2025
📊 Markets remain cautious as tariff tensions escalate and the temporary 90-day reprieve nears its end. While Trump’s tax bill passed the House, traders are now turning their attention to the upcoming Senate vote.
By John Hall May 22, 2025
📉 The U.S. dollar is slipping as longer-term borrowing costs surge and confidence in its safe-haven status wavers. Amid a turbulent rollout of tariffs and ballooning fiscal concerns, markets are questioning whether recent moves reflect a temporary dip—or a structural shift in sentiment toward the greenback.
By John Hall May 21, 2025
🔺 Reports of a potential Israeli strike on Iranian nuclear sites have reignited safe haven flows, sending the dollar and U.S. equity futures lower while lifting oil and gold.
By John Hall May 20, 2025
🌍 Caution Prevails in Global Markets Markets opened the day quietly, as traders weigh geopolitical signals and central bank policy shifts.
By John Hall May 19, 2025
Markets kick off the week under a cloud after Moody’s slashed the U.S. sovereign rating, reigniting the “sell-America” trade and nudging both the dollar and equity futures lower.
By John Hall May 16, 2025
Markets end the week on a quieter note with no major economic data on the calendar today. Next week could bring more directional moves as new data and central bank commentary come into focus.
More Posts